{"id":2313,"date":"2017-05-18T22:02:54","date_gmt":"2017-05-18T22:02:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/?p=2313"},"modified":"2017-05-18T22:02:54","modified_gmt":"2017-05-18T22:02:54","slug":"the-lifetime-risk-of-maternal-mortality-an-overview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/2017\/05\/18\/the-lifetime-risk-of-maternal-mortality-an-overview\/","title":{"rendered":"The lifetime risk of Maternal Mortality: An Overview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Bikram Patnaik<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Visualization Link:<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.gapminder.org\/world\/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=30;stl=t;st=t;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=5.59290322580644;ti=1941$zpv;v=0$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0TAlJeCEzcGQ;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj2tPLxKvvnNPA;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=8.21;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=CATID0;by=grp$map_x;scale=lin;dataMin=0.84;dataMax=9.2$map_y;scale=lin;dataMin=1;dataMax=84$map_s;sma=50;smi=2$cd;bd=0$inds=\"><i>Fertility vs Life Expectancy<\/i><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center\">Maternal mortality is much higher in developing than in developed countries-\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/books\/NBK235085\/\">Mahler, 1987<\/a><\/h5>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><em><span id=\"t-163942\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">&#8220;The world is still &#8216;we&#8217; and &#8216;them.&#8217;<\/span> <span id=\"t-166481\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">And &#8216;we&#8217; here refers to the Western world and &#8216;them&#8217; is Third World.\u00a0<\/span><span id=\"t-170328\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">And what do you mean by Western world?\u00a0<\/span><span id=\"t-172915\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">Well, that&#8217;s long life and small family,<\/span> <span id=\"t-174916\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">and Third World is short life and large family.&#8221; &#8211;\u00a0<\/span><\/em><span id=\"t-174916\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">This is a podcast conversation that I heard last week playing in my friend&#8217;s car.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Well, the importance of quantifying the loss of life caused by maternal mortality in a population is widely recognized. In 2000, the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Millennium_Development_Goals\">UN Millennium Declaration<\/a> identified the improvement of maternal health as one of eight fundamental goals for furthering human development.<\/p>\n<p>Going by the old school definition, maternal mortality ratio (<em>MM R<\/em>atio) is obtained by dividing the number of maternal deaths in a population by the number of live births occurring in the same time interval. It depicts the risk of maternal death relative to the frequency of childbearing.<\/p>\n<p>With the help of this visualization we will\u00a0discuss\u00a0if we can justify our <strong>main claim<\/strong> with proper evidence or is it just a\u00a0regular misconception which should only interest health experts and statistician. The visualization reviews data\u00a0from 150\u00a0countries and compares Life expectancy (maternal mortality rate)\u00a0vs maternal fertility for the past 2 centuries. The vertical\u00a0axis shows\u00a0the average maternal life span in each country\u00a0ranging from 10 &#8211; 80 years, where high up= longer life, to the bottom= shorter life. The\u00a0horizontal axis shows the total fertility rate that\u00a0ranges from 2- 9 children per woman.\u00a0It&#8217;s interesting to see the usage of bubble chart for this, which is primarily\u00a0used when you represent\u00a0data that has three or more data series (In this case Life expectancy, total fertility\u00a0and size of the population) and\u00a0each containing a set of values.<\/p>\n<p><strong>UNDERSTANDING THE DATA:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here\u00a0each country in the world is a bubble,the size of the bubbles represent the population size\u00a0and color represents regions of the world (see on top right side).Before rolling\u00a0the years, we\u00a0notice that in 1800 all the countries\u00a0had a life expectancy less than 45 years and the children per woman ranged from 4-8 (on an average- 6 children) in a family. For further discussions let&#8217;s understand\u00a0that high mortality rate means less life expectancy and vise-versa. Developed countries like France\u00a0had\u00a0a\u00a0low fertility rate( 4.4- which means they had smaller families) and a\u00a0life span of 34\u00a0yrs where as the developing county, Iran with\u00a0a smaller\u00a0population had a high\u00a0fertility rate (7.1- meaning larger family) and\u00a0the life span barely crossing 25 years. We see there is a\u00a0significant difference between the developed and developing countries in terms of both mortality and fertility rate pertaining to factors like lack of adequate medical care, the greater prevalence of infectious diseases and higher incidence of pregnancy. This might seem to be a promising\u00a0<strong>warrant<\/strong>\u00a0that we want to verify our claim.<\/p>\n<p>BUT!! let&#8217;s see what happens when years pass by. Till the 1940s there was no significant\u00a0difference between the countries on the visualization. Only after 1950, there is a change that is noticeable. <span id=\"t-232611\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">China starts\u00a0moving with\u00a0better health and improves steadily.<\/span> <span id=\"t-235922\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">All Latin American countries start to\u00a0move towards smaller families.<\/span> The blue<span id=\"t-239591\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">\u00a0ones are the Arabic countries,<\/span><span id=\"t-242037\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">and they have\u00a0longer life, but no larger families.<\/span><span id=\"t-252063\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">In the &#8217;80s, Bangladesh still remains similar to the African countries.<\/span> <span id=\"t-255522\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">But then the Bangladeshi<\/span><span id=\"t-258499\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">\u00a0imams start to promote family planning\u00a0and<\/span><span id=\"t-261000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">\u00a0pull the country higher up the life expectancy ladder.<\/span> <span id=\"t-262863\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">And in the &#8217;90s, there was a\u00a0terrible HIV epidemic<\/span> <span id=\"t-266088\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">that takes down the life expectancy of the African countries<\/span> <span id=\"t-269718\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">and all the rest of the countries\u00a0move up <\/span><span id=\"t-273000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">where there are\u00a0longer lives and smaller families, and we have a completely new world.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"t-290000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">Let me make a comparison directly<\/span> <span id=\"t-292404\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">between the United States of America and Vietnam. In\u00a0<\/span><span id=\"t-295355\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">1964,<\/span>\u00a0<span id=\"t-297538\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">America had small families and long life;<\/span> <span id=\"t-300173\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">Vietnam had large families and short lives.<\/span>\u00a0The data d<span id=\"t-305015\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">uring the war indicate that even with all the death,<\/span> <span id=\"t-310000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">there was an improvement of life expectancy.<\/span> <span id=\"t-312177\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">By the end of the year, the family planning started in Vietnam;<\/span> <span id=\"t-315165\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">they went for smaller families.<\/span>\u00a0While<span id=\"t-316756\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">\u00a0United States had\u00a0longer life,<\/span> <span id=\"t-319671\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">keeping family size.<\/span> I<span id=\"t-320802\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">n the &#8217;80s, Vietnam gives up Communist planning<\/span> <span id=\"t-323862\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">and goes\u00a0for market economy,<\/span> <span id=\"t-325845\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">and it moves faster even than social life.<\/span> <span id=\"t-327870\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">And today in Vietnam, we have <\/span>\u00a0<span id=\"t-330175\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">the same life expectancy and the same family size<\/span>\u00a0<span id=\"t-337969\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">as in United States, 1974, by the end of the war.<\/span><span id=\"t-349000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">\u00a0With this all the previous <strong>warrants fails<\/strong> and now this comparison acts as a <strong>strong rebuttal<\/strong> against our original claim.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\"><strong>DRAWBACKS:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\">Undoubtedly the visualization is amazing in itself, but there are few snags which can alter the statistics if taken into consideration. First, the data collected are only with respect to inter-countries. But what it doesn&#8217;t include is the scope to look at the differences among the maternal mortality within the regions of a given\u00a0country which would give different insights. Second, there is no mention of various age group of women who face higher mortality rate; so that those age group can be targeted for special medical care during pregnancy. Third, there is no comparison with the actual vs target MM ratio data for any given country. There is a high probability that when these factors are combined together it might give us a different picture altogether.<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\"><strong>FROM A CRITIQUE&#8217;S VIEWPOINT:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\">The number of different parameters presented on the interactive dashboard\u00a0are overwhelming and seems far less from being user-friendly. For a new user it\u00a0becomes hard and confusing, instead a simple drop down could be introduced to give\u00a0the audience the flexibility to play around with their desired set of parameters.The simpler it is, the easier it becomes. Second, the visualization doesn&#8217;t allow us to see the change in MM Ratio across various countries as year passes. This is very crucial for any\u00a0government health organisations to plan\u00a0ahead of time. Third, though we see a bubble comparison between inter-countries but the total mortality figures\/data over the years for a particular country is not seen ( neither it&#8217;s total comparison with the World data).<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\"><strong>ALTERNATIVE APPROACH\/MODIFICATION:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body-text story-content\">Though it&#8217;s visually appealing there are certain hiccups with this bubble\u00a0charts visualization as well. It can be further enhanced and made simpler by adopting certain techniques.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li class=\"story-body-text story-content\">The bubble chart earlier didn&#8217;t give us a change in MMR for different countries. So, as a modification\u00a0I would recommend to use\u00a02-D clustered bar graph\u00a0to show the deviation\u00a0of MMR across the various countries over a period of time. This is a\u00a0simpler alternative to\u00a0visually represent a\u00a0change in data, as you can see this in below v<em>isualization<\/em>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.northeastern.edu\/rugglesmedia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Change-in-Maternal-Mortality-Rate-in-Developed-Countries-1985-2015.jpg\" width=\"684\" height=\"315\" \/><\/p>\n<p>2. In this following modification, we make changes to the graph as pointed out in drawback section. Using\u00a0a simple line chart \u00a0we try to contrast two different projections for a given country. In the below <em>visualization<\/em>, we see the target MMR of Mexico and a comparison of it&#8217;s actual stats.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/dssg.uchicago.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/mexico-rates.png\" width=\"1058\" height=\"585\" \/><\/p>\n<p>3. Further, we discussed that a bubble comparison between inter-countries is seen in the visualization but there is no individual mortality figures\/data\u00a0for a particular country over the years ( neither it&#8217;s total comparison with the World data).. The modified version looks like the below <em>visualization<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/data.unicef.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/MM-11-Nov-2015-regions-300ppi_80-1.png\" width=\"665\" height=\"426\" \/><\/p>\n<p>4.The following <em>visualization<\/em> segregates the maternal mortality into different age groups and makes it easier to understand the impact over the spectrum.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/mchb.hrsa.gov\/whusa09\/hstat\/mh\/images\/56b_bar_MATERNmortalityAge.gif\" width=\"485\" height=\"264\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>CONCLUSION:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We could clearly see from the comparison between countries that in the modern era,\u00a0all the developed as well as developing countries have the same mortality and fertility rate. Studies suggest that\u00a045% of the potential number of maternal lives saved in developing\u00a0countries is attributable to fertility decline\u00a0and 55% of the potential number of maternal lives saved are because of\u00a0safe <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mamaye.org\/en\/evidence\/measuring-effect-fertility-decline-maternal-mortality-ratio\">motherhood initiatives<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"t-342562\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">If we don&#8217;t look in the data,<\/span> <span id=\"t-345833\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">I think we all underestimate the tremendous change in Asia,<\/span> <span id=\"t-349000\" class=\"talk-transcript__fragment\">which was in social change before we saw the economical change.<\/span>So rather than over\u00a0simplifying the fact\u00a0that only maternal mortality is higher in the &#8216;Them&#8217; countries as compared to &#8216;We&#8217; countries, we should try to embrace the\u00a0changes happening around the world.<\/p>\n<p>References : <a href=\"http:\/\/paa2010.princeton.edu\/papers\/102080\">Princeton<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/books\/NBK235085\/\">NCBI<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/discovermagazine.com\/2004\/feb\/why-aids-worse-in-africa\">\u00a0<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iranicaonline.org\/articles\/fertility-and-mortality\">Encyclopedia Iranica<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2000\/mar\/14\/unitednations\">,<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.quora.com\/Could-childbirth-affect-a-womans-life-expectancy\">Quora<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/bulletin\/volumes\/87\/4\/07-048280\/en\/\">WHO<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mamaye.org\/en\/evidence\/measuring-effect-fertility-decline-maternal-mortality-ratio\">Mamaye<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Millennium_Development_Goals\">Wikipedia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bikram Patnaik Visualization Link:\u00a0Fertility vs Life Expectancy Maternal mortality is much higher in developing than in developed countries-\u00a0Mahler, 1987 &#8220;The world is still &#8216;we&#8217; and &#8216;them.&#8217; And &#8216;we&#8217; here refers to the Western world and &#8216;them&#8217; is Third World.\u00a0And what do you mean by Western world?\u00a0Well, that&#8217;s long life and small family, and Third World &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/2017\/05\/18\/the-lifetime-risk-of-maternal-mortality-an-overview\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The lifetime risk of Maternal Mortality: An Overview<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1992,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"qubely_global_settings":"","qubely_interactions":"","kk_blocks_editor_width":"","_kiokenblocks_attr":"","_kiokenblocks_dimensions":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"gutentor_comment":0,"qubely_featured_image_url":null,"qubely_author":{"display_name":"Patnaik Bikram","author_link":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/author\/bikramptnk095\/"},"qubely_comment":0,"qubely_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/category\/uncategorized\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Uncategorized<\/a>","qubely_excerpt":"Bikram Patnaik Visualization Link:\u00a0Fertility vs Life Expectancy Maternal mortality is much higher in developing than in developed countries-\u00a0Mahler, 1987 &#8220;The world is still &#8216;we&#8217; and &#8216;them.&#8217; And &#8216;we&#8217; here refers to the Western world and &#8216;them&#8217; is Third World.\u00a0And what do you mean by Western world?\u00a0Well, that&#8217;s long life and small family, and Third World&hellip;","post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1992"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2313"}],"version-history":[{"count":27,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2313\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2342,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2313\/revisions\/2342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.scu.edu\/dataviz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}